SCOTUS Ruling · February 20, 2026

The $166 Billion tariff reimbursement window is open.

Compound Capital Connections is the national authority recovering unlawfully collected IEEPA duties — engineered with AI precision, delivered on contingency.

$166B
Refund Pool Unlocked
$22M
Interest Accruing Daily
330K
Eligible Importers
53M
Affected Entry Records
IEEPACAPE PortalACE / ABI19 U.S.C. § 1313USTRCBP
The Opportunity

The largest customs refund event in U.S. history.

Following Learning Resources, Inc. v. Trump, the Supreme Court reasserted Congressional authority over import taxation — invalidating an entire regime of executive surcharges ab initio.

Constitutional Basis

Major Questions Doctrine. Article I, § 8 reserves taxing power to Congress. IEEPA delegated none.

CIT Mandate

Senior Judge Eaton ordered nationwide reliquidation. CAPE deployed under 45‑day stay.

Phase 1 Window

Unliquidated entries plus those liquidated within 80 days are immediately refundable.

Over 330,000 importers across 53 million entry summaries are theoretically eligible. The mechanism — the newly launched Consolidated Administration and Processing of Entries portal — places the burden of identification, validation, and filing entirely on the private sector.

Initial CAPE rollout data shows a 15% rejection rate, driven by data hygiene and discrepancies against the Automated Commercial Environment database.

Procedural mechanics
Enrollment
ACE Portal + ACH refund registration
Documentation
CBP Form 7501 + IEEPA payment proof
Filing
CAPE Declaration · CSV · 9,999 entries / file
Interest
19 U.S.C. § 1505(b) · IRS quarterly rates
Payment
ACH refund · 60–90 days from acceptance
Capabilities

Six recovery products. One execution platform.

Engineered for contingency pricing and institutional-grade execution.

Legal Recovery

Post‑SCOTUS CAPE declarations, § 1514 protests, and CIT‑level escalations.

Agentic AI Filing

Proprietary ACE ingestion. Pre‑filing validation reduces 15% rejection to under 5%.

Claim Factoring

Monetize refund entitlements at 50–60% of par today, perfected via UCC‑1.

Compliance Shield

Licensed brokers and trade attorneys oversee every ABI submission.

Forensic Drawback

5‑year lookback. Substitution drawback recovers up to 99% of duties on exports.

HTS Reclassification

Retroactive USTR exclusion capture and Post Summary Corrections.

Strategic Intelligence

From Fortune 500 to long-tail importers.

A serviceable obtainable market of $39B sits in the unregistered mid-market and small-business segments — historically ignored by Big Four and elite trade law.

Enterprise
$95B

Median claim $50M – $1B+. Co-counsel for Fortune 500 trade desks.

Mid-Market
$45B

Median claim $250K – $5M. Vertical pods for autos, apparel, electronics.

Long Tail
$26B

Median claim $25K – $150K. Automated CAPE filing for small importers.

Competitive Landscape

The white space is operational.

Customs brokers are designed for low-margin entry writing, not multi-year forensic audits. Law firms are constrained by the billable hour. The mid-market and long tail — collectively $71B in unaddressed recovery — are stranded.

Trade Law Firms
Hourly · Litigation focus
Enterprise Brokers
Contingency · Volume drawback
Big Four Tax
Project · Audit defense
Trade-Tech Startups
Tiered contingency · AI speed
Geographic Concentration

Where the recoverable capital sits.

State
Tariffs Paid
Industry Drivers
Texas
$30B
Oil & Gas, Cross-Border, Electronics
Michigan
$19B
Automotive Manufacturing, Steel
Georgia
$17B
Logistics Hubs, Consumer Goods
Florida
$9.7B
Retail Distribution, Aviation, Pharma
Ohio
$9.3B
Industrial Machinery
Tennessee
$9.2B
Automotive, Medical Supplies
Process

From ACE access to capital, in under 90 days.

  1. 01
    Diagnostic

    Five-year ACE audit. Recoverable principal and interest quantified within 24 hours.

  2. 02
    Triage

    Phase 1 entries fast-tracked. 80-day liquidation deadlines protected.

  3. 03
    File

    AI-drafted CAPE declarations submitted via certified ABI within five business days.

  4. 04
    Recover

    ACH refund delivered in 60–90 days. Optional factoring unlocks capital immediately.

Why Now

The window is closing — and it is closing entry by entry.

Phase 1 CAPE eligibility expires at the entry level. Every day that passes, thousands of liquidated entries fall out of administrative reach forever. This is the highest-velocity refund opportunity in the history of U.S. trade law.

80
Days left in Phase 1 window
CAPE administrative track
$22M
Interest accruing daily
19 U.S.C. § 1505(b)
8,400
Entries liquidating weekly
Outside protest reach
10–20×
Cost multiplier post‑window
CIT litigation vs. CAPE
The Cost of Waiting

Three deadlines silently expiring

  • 180‑day § 1514 protest window. Once an entry liquidates, you have 180 days. Miss it and the only path is CIT litigation.
  • 314‑day final liquidation. CBP finalizes entries 314 days after entry. Final liquidation eliminates administrative refund options entirely.
  • 5‑year drawback lookback. Substitution drawback rolls forward daily. Each week of delay forfeits the oldest week of recoverable exports.
First‑Mover Advantage

Why early filers win disproportionately

  • Interest from date of overpayment. Phase 1 filers capture interest from 2018–2025 deposits. Late filers capture only forward interest.
  • Front‑of‑queue ABI processing. CBP throughput is finite. Early submissions liquidate in 60–90 days; late submissions stack into 9–12 month backlogs.
  • Precedent capture. The first wave of CAPE rulings sets the substantiation bar. Early filers shape the standard; late filers comply with it.
90‑Day Recovery Timeline

From engagement to refund — typical Phase 1 cadence

Day 1
Audit

ACE ITRAC ingest. Quantified principal + interest estimate within 24 hours.

Day 7
First Filing

POA executed. First CAPE batch transmitted via ABI to CBP.

Day 30
Acceptance

Pre‑validation drives sub‑5% rejection. Acceptance notices begin landing.

Day 60–90
Refund

ACH refund + accrued interest deposited. Factoring option closes in 5–10 days.

Zero upfront cost Contingency-based Audit-defensible 60–90 day refunds
FAQ

Answers for CFOs, controllers, and trade counsel.

Forty-plus questions on eligibility, process, pricing, compliance, and the AI infrastructure behind the filings.

The $166B Opportunity

Eligibility & Claim Types

The Filing Process

Pricing, Contingency & Factoring

Compliance & Risk

AI & Technology

Working With Compound Capital Connections

Engagement

Request a tariff exposure audit.

No-cost diagnostic. Quantified principal and accrued interest within one business day.